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Forecasting, 
Insights

Where Have All the Teachers Gone?

More and more, teachers are leaving the profession. A recent report co-published from Chalkbeat and USA Today highlights the issue in eight states where teacher turnover reached a five-year high....
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Trends, 
Analysis

Economic Impact: 2024 forecast, falling inflation, labor market cooling

A new year is always a good time to consider how the economy might perform. And many of us economists were wrong about expecting a recession in 2023. It never came to pass, but we had good reason to...
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Economy, 
JobsEQ, 
Analysis, 
Consulting, 
Plus, 
Pro, 
Economic Trends

Is Your Locality Impacted by the Changes to the 2023 Core Based Statistical Area Definitions?

The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) periodically updates the definitions of Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) and Micropolitan Statistical Areas (µSAs) based on Census commuting and...
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Trends, 
Analysis

Economic Impact: Retail Sales Are Not Expected To Be As Strong This Holiday Season

This article was originally published in the Richmond Times Dispatch on November 20, 2023. With the holiday shopping season in full force and inflation eating away at spending power, growth in retail...
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Economy, 
JobsEQ, 
Analysis, 
Consulting, 
Plus, 
Pro, 
Economic Trends

A Time To Be Thankful:  Some Relief Expected for Your Holiday Meal

We are officially rolling into the holiday season. Grocery stores are stocking shelves and households are preparing for Thanksgiving. Despite an adequate supply of turkeys this year, we’re still...
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Economy, 
JobsEQ, 
Analysis, 
Consulting, 
Plus, 
Pro, 
Economic Trends

Tech Talent Hubs Show Mixed Hiring Picture in 2023 Job Ads

Hiring patterns for tech workers[1] in some of the largest metro areas have followed consistent trajectories from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic through 2022, but the current slowdown in the tech...
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Trends, 
Analysis

Economic Impact: Job postings slowdown not a sign of recession; sign-on bonuses drop

This article was originally published in the Richmond Times Dispatch on September 25, 2023. Many economists have downgraded the probability of a recession occurring over the next year. They argue...
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Economy, 
JobsEQ, 
Analysis, 
Consulting, 
Plus, 
Pro, 
Economic Trends

Incentives for Job Switching Return to Average Following Pandemic Highs

The resilience of the labor market has reopened hope for a possible soft landing, as the Federal Reserve tries to reign in inflation without causing massive unemployment. Employment is continuing to...
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Data, 
Forecasting, 
Economy, 
JobsEQ, 
Analysis, 
Consulting, 
Plus, 
Pro, 
Economic Trends

ChatGDP? Using AI to Write for Economics

The following blog is divided into two parts: Part I has been entirely generated by ChatGPT, Part II was written by Chmura economists and discusses the differences between ChatGPT’s economic writing...
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